九一果冻制作厂

九一果冻制作厂经济学前沿高端讲座第一百零四讲

The Impact of Pollution on Intra-city Population Distribution—Based on Evidence of Government Relocation

主讲人：梁文泉&苍产蝉辫;副教授（同济大学经济与管理学院）

主持人：兰兰&苍产蝉辫;助理教授（九一果冻制作厂李安民经济研究院）

嘉宾介绍：杨国浩&苍产蝉辫;助理教授（九一果冻制作厂李安民经济研究院）

时间：2025年11月28日（周五）  10：00-11：30（北京时间）

地点：九一果冻制作厂崇山校区五洲园一楼会议室

线上地址：腾讯会议730-281-8924

语言：中文/英文

摘要：Using the Chinese Industrial Enterprise Pollution Database and county-level statistical data from 1998 to 2014, this study examines the impact of pollution emissions and the distribution of pollution within cities on the population. To address endogeneity issues, the study also employs the relocation of city government offices from 2000 to 2016 as an exogenous shock to construct a staggered Difference-in-Differences (DID) model for identifying the effects of pollution on the population in upwind areas within cities. The results show that an increase in pollution emissions in a county significantly decreases its resident population, and the distribution of pollution within a city also affects the population in different counties within the city. After the relocation of government offices, pollution in upwind areas significantly increases while the population significantly decreases. Mechanism analysis suggests that after the relocation, firms in upwind areas reduce pollution facilities, increase pollution emissions, and experience an increase in land allocation for heavy industries. Further investigation reveals that young individuals with higher education levels are less tolerant of the spread of pollution in upwind areas within cities, leading them to choose to move away from cities with higher pollution emissions in these areas.

主讲人介绍：

梁文泉，同济大学经济与管理学院副教授。致力于研究劳动力空间分布的起因和影响，主要关注环境污染、人口流动、人力资本和城市发展。目前已在American Economic Journal: Applied Economics、International Economic Review、Journal of Environmental Economics and Management、China Economic Review等国际期刊以及《中国社会科学》《经济研究》《管理世界》《经济学（季刊）》等国内期刊发表论文近20篇。研究成果曾获经济学（季刊）年度最佳论文、上海青年经济学者优秀成果一等奖。主持国家自科基金青年和面上项目等多项省部级以上课题。